Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 249.232538 280.943742 316.114373 358.188075 407.376991 463.337657 532.207654
2025-05-04 201.659186 243.261642 293.481669 359.262127 444.182844 551.550731 699.894467
2025-05-11 171.134097 215.425764 271.858199 350.305053 458.591142 605.960080 827.358510
2025-05-18 150.219791 195.459259 255.592108 343.255865 471.072274 656.079449 954.824814
2025-05-25 139.775577 187.421973 253.260646 353.596711 507.698816 744.506696 1155.420489
2025-06-01 128.060002 175.966983 244.306477 352.371672 525.813944 806.469310 1325.473728
2025-06-08 116.895164 163.971208 232.961929 345.571221 533.370552 851.485648 1474.669799
2025-06-15 109.182364 156.197482 226.907935 345.935048 552.073638 917.608651 1677.126399
2025-06-22 100.723202 146.471905 216.783095 338.255135 555.521458 956.384730 1833.842496
2025-06-29 94.732509 140.011782 211.117879 337.216530 570.275438 1018.237613 2053.974844
2025-07-06 86.935160 130.068618 198.920252 323.483706 559.604695 1028.201395 2159.873820
2025-07-13 84.836556 129.096478 201.369201 335.836879 600.042238 1149.032713 2562.190122
2025-07-20 82.945403 128.421971 204.434411 350.033219 647.104145 1295.457805 3085.061091
2025-07-27 78.990450 123.996408 200.640540 350.940617 667.209036 1386.197813 3492.075938
2025-08-03 73.964935 117.369207 192.380232 342.244972 665.480819 1425.018311 3761.476460
2025-08-10 69.672101 111.718668 185.427005 335.394179 666.813742 1471.666049 4073.713591
2025-08-17 68.064170 110.662801 186.769636 345.443108 707.844575 1628.648158 4820.417515
2025-08-24 65.108561 106.989938 182.918564 344.252755 722.384500 1718.378720 5372.328333
2025-08-31 61.719652 102.317420 176.817895 337.644362 722.878780 1769.158761 5801.174817
2025-09-07 59.416344 99.491871 174.061884 337.997935 740.716784 1874.515792 6508.513306
2025-09-14 56.394374 95.153940 168.042159 330.533936 737.561229 1916.109847 6963.739915
2025-09-21 54.289479 92.418850 165.013083 329.524445 751.220385 2013.900603 7738.789106
2025-09-28 51.029827 87.322018 156.920759 316.174642 730.011718 1994.286960 7928.383882